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Punxsutawney Phil is a groundhog in Pennsylvania that has been the center of a Groundhog Day tradition since 1887. Groundhog Day, observed on February 2, is a tradition in the United States and Canada to predict the weather for the next six weeks. Folklore states that if the groundhog sees its shadow, there will be six more weeks of winter. If it does not see its shadow, an early spring is expected. This tradition has roots in medieval beliefs about animals emerging from hibernation on February 2. German immigrants brought this belief to North America, where the groundhog replaced the badger as the prognosticator. Historical records show these predictions are accurate less than 40 percent of the time.12

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