Keys to the White House

Editor’s note: This article was published in 2008, when the Keys to the White House forecast Barack Obama’s win. Since then, Lichtman’s model successfully predicted the 2012 election. In 2016, through an American University press release, Lichtman claimed that his model’s prediction of Donald Trump’s victory reflected the outcome of the presidential race, not of the popular vote, which Trump lost. The Keys to the White House accurately forecast the outcome of the 2020 election....