Why do both prisoners confess in the prisonerās dilemma?
The normal-form table illustrates the concept of a saddlepoint, or entry, in a payoff matrix at which the expected gain of each participant (row or column) has the highest guaranteed payoff.
In the prisonerās dilemma, both prisoners confess because it is the dominant strategy for each individual, despite the fact that it leads to a worse collective outcome than if both had remained silent.12
Because the game is noncooperativeāmeaning the prisoners cannot make binding agreementsāeach player acts in their own self-interest to minimize their own prison sentence. When analyzing the decision:32
- If the other prisoner confesses, confessing results in a shorter sentence than remaining silent.2
- If the other prisoner remains silent, confessing results in immediate release rather than a short prison term.12
Since confessing provides a better outcome for a prisoner regardless of what the other does, both choose to confess. This outcome is known as the Nash equilibrium, a state where no player can improve their own payoff by unilaterally changing their strategy. While both would be better off if they cooperated by remaining silent, the lack of trust and inability to enforce an agreement traps them in this mutually disadvantageous result.243