Why did Columbus believe that Cuba was part of mainland Asia?

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Christopher Columbus believed that Cuba was part of the mainland of Asia—specifically Cathay—due to a series of flawed geographic calculations and a reliance on outdated or misinterpreted sources.123

His conviction was rooted in several key errors:

  • Underestimated Distance: Columbus used an incorrect value for the length of a degree of longitude, which significantly shortened his estimate of the distance across the Atlantic Ocean.145
  • Geographic Misconceptions: He accepted Ptolemy’s exaggerated estimates regarding the eastward extent of the Asian continent.15
  • Influence of Marco Polo: By incorporating the lands described by Marco Polo into his own calculations, Columbus further reduced the perceived distance between Europe and Asia.15
  • Confirmation Bias: Having initially set out to find Japan (Cipango), Columbus convinced himself by November 1, 1492, that Cuba was the Asian mainland, even though he lacked evidence of the great cities described in his sources.3

Consequently, he maintained this belief throughout his first voyage, despite the absence of the expected wealth or imperial courts.53