Why does warmer air usually lead to more water vapor in the lower atmosphere?
Warmer air leads to more water vapor in the lower atmosphere primarily because the saturation vapour pressure of air increases with temperature.1
At a molecular level, when liquid water and its surrounding vapor are warmed, a greater number of molecules escape from the liquid phase than return to it, causing the concentration of water vapor to rise. Consequently, warmer surface temperatures increase the rate of evaporation from the Earth's surface. Because warmer air has a higher capacity to hold water vapor, this increased evaporation results in a higher concentration of water vapor in the lower atmosphere.123
In the context of greenhouse gases, this process acts as a climate feedback. The additional water vapor is capable of absorbing infrared radiation and emitting it back toward the surface, which further influences the climate system's activity.2