Why are short-period comets believed to come from the Kuiper belt?
Short-period comets, particularly those in the Jupiter-family, are believed to originate from the Kuiper belt primarily due to the specific orbital characteristics of these comets.1
Dynamical simulations demonstrate that the high concentration of Jupiter-family comet orbits near the ecliptic—the plane of Earth's orbit—can only be explained by a flattened source of icy bodies. The Kuiper belt, a disk of small bodies extending beyond the orbit of Neptune, matches this geometry.12
In this model, objects within the Kuiper belt—specifically those in the "scattered disk"—experience gravitational interactions with Neptune. These interactions can scatter the objects inward toward the planetary region, where they eventually transition into short-period comets. This theory gained prominence because attempts to explain the supply of short-period comets solely through the Oort cloud proved to be inefficient, failing to account for the observed frequency of these comets.314