How is the probability of at most one head in several fair coin tosses calculated?

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In probability theory, when tossing a fair coin n times, the total number of possible outcomes in the sample space is 2n, as each of the n tosses has two possible results (heads or tails).1

To calculate the probability of getting "at most one head," you must account for two mutually exclusive scenarios:

  • Zero heads: There is only one outcome where no heads occur (all tails).1
  • Exactly one head: There are n possible outcomes where exactly one head occurs, as the head can appear on the first, second, ..., or nth toss.1

By the principle of additivity, the total number of favorable outcomes is the sum of these cases, which is n+1. Therefore, the probability of obtaining at most one head is:

n+12n

This calculation assumes that all outcomes in the sample space are equally likely.1