Bayes’s theorem: Quick Facts

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Facts

Also Known As	inverse probability

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A diagram illustrating Bayes's theorem using a group of 10,000 intravenous drug users, showing 2,500 are infected with HIV and 7,500 are not; within those tested, 2,375 true positives and 30 false positives are highlighted to demonstrate conditional probability.

Understand how Bayes's theorem can make educated mathematical guesses when there is not much to go on

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Topics

Rationality conditional probability probability theory central limit theorem birthday problem expected value stochastic process indifference likelihood

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